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Artificial Intelligence for Prognostics

Papers from the 2007 AAAI Fall Symposium

George Vachtsevanos, Serdar Uckun, and Kai Goebel, Program Cochairs

Technical Report FS-07-02. Published by The AAAI Press, Menlo Park, California

This technical report is also available in book and CD format.

Please Note: Abstracts are linked to individual titles, and will appear in a separate browser window. Full-text versions of the papers are linked to the abstract text. Access to full text may be restricted to AAAI members. PDF file sizes may be large!

Contents

Organizing Committee / 1
George Vachtsevanos, Serdar Uckun, and Kai Goebel

FPGA Based Fault Detection, Isolation and Healing for Integrated Vehicle Health / 1
Ali Akoglu, Sonia Vohnout, Justin Judkins

Multi-level Methods for Combined Diagnostics and Prognostics / 9
Gautam Biswas, Sankaran Mahadevan

Soft Computing Applications to Prognostics and Health Management (PHM): Leveraging Field Data and Domain Knowledge / 17
Piero P. Bonissone, Naresh Iyer

Multivariate State Estimation Technique for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Electronic Products / 26
Shunfeng Cheng, Michael Pecht

Changing Failure Rates, Changing Costs: Choosing the Right Maintenance Policy / 33
Chris Drummond

Applying Outbreak Detection Algorithms to Prognostics / 36
Artur Dubrawski, Michael Baysek, Maj. Shannon Mikus, Charles McDaniel, Bradley Mowry, Laurel Moyer, John Ostlund, Norman Sondheimer, Timothy Stewart

Dynamic Prognoser Architecture via the Path Classification and Estimation (PACE) Model / 44
Dustin R. Garvey, J. Wesley Hines

Uncertainty Assessment of Prognostics of Electronics Subject to Random Vibration / 50
Jie Gu, Donald Barker, Michael Pecht

Health-Management Driven Control Reconfiguration Approach for Flight Vehicles / 58
Asif Khalak, Kai Goebel

Using Health Information to Reconfigure Platform Operation, Adjust Mission Goals and Extend the Life of the System / 63
James Kozlowski, Karl Reichard, Scott Laurin

Health Monitoring of Electronic Products Using Symbolic Time Series Analysis / 73
Sachin Kumar, Michael Pecht

On-Demand Regression to Improve Preciseness of Time to Failure Predictions / 81
Sylvain Létourneau, Chunsheng Yang, Zhenkai Liu

Selected Artificial Intelligence Methods Applied within an Integrated Vehicle Health Management System / 88
Michael J. Roemer, Carl S. Byington, Michael S. Schoeller

A Bayesian Framework for Remaining Useful Life Estimation / 97
Bhaskar Saha, Kai Goebel, Scott Poll, Jon Christophersen

Optimum Feature Selection and Extraction for Fault Diagnosis and Prognosis / 103
Abhinav Saxena, George Vachtsevanos

A Survey of Artificial Intelligence for Prognostics / 108
Mark Schwabacher, Kai Goebel

Dynamic CMG Model / 116
Vadim Smelyanskiy, Serdar Uckun, Nancy Lybeck, Brogan Morton, Sean Marble

Support Vector Prognostics Analysis of Electronic Products and Systems / 121
Vasilis A. Sotiris, Michael Pecht

Prognostics in the Control Loop / 129
Liang Tang, Gregory J. Kacprzynski, Kai Goebel, Johan Reimann, Marcos E. Orchard, Abhinav Saxena, Bhaskar Saha

Uncertainty Management in Shock Models Applied to Prognostic Problems / 137
Alexander Usynin, J. Wesley Hines

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