The Aggregative Contingent Estimation System: Selecting, Rewarding, and Training Experts in a Wisdom of Crowds Approach to Forecasting

AAAI Publications, 2012 AAAI Spring Symposium Series

Dirk B. Warnaar, Edgar C. Merkle, Mark Steyvers, Thomas S. Wallsten, Eric R. Stone, David V. Budescu, J. Frank Yates, Winston R. Sieck, Hal R. Arkes, Chris F. Argenta, Youngwon Shin, Jennifer N. Carter

Last modified: 2012-03-23

Abstract

We describe the Aggregative Contingent Estimation System, which is designed to elicit and aggregate forecasts from large, diverse groups of individuals.

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