AAAI Publications, Twenty-Fifth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence

Font Size: 
Can Collective Sentiment Expressed on Twitter Predict Political Elections?
Jessica Elan Chung, Eni Mustafaraj

Last modified: 2011-08-04


Research examining the predictive power of social media (especially Twitter) displays conflicting results, particularly in the domain of political elections. This paper applies methods used in studies that have shown a direct correlation between volume/sentiment of Twitter chatter and future electoral results in a new dataset about political elections. We show that these methods display a series of shortcomings that make them inadequate for determining whether social media messages can predict the outcome of elections.

Full Text: PDF